Advertisement
Original Article| Volume 64, ISSUE 4, P377-390, October 2022

Download started.

Ok

Symptom Control and Survival for People Severely ill With COVID: A Multicentre Cohort Study (CovPall-Symptom)

  • Irene J. Higginson
    Correspondence
    Address correspondence to: Irene J. Higginson, FRCP, Cicely Saunders Institute of Palliative Care, Policy and Rehabilitation, Florence Nightingale Faculty of Nursing, Midwifery & Palliative Care, Bessemer Road, London SE5 9PJ, UK.
    Affiliations
    Cicely Saunders Institute of Palliative Care (I.J.H., M.H., M.M., K.F.S., A.O.O., R.L.C., S.B.), Policy and Rehabilitation, King's College London, London, UK

    King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust (I.J.H., K.F.S.), Denmark Hill, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • Mevhibe B. Hocaoglu
    Affiliations
    Cicely Saunders Institute of Palliative Care (I.J.H., M.H., M.M., K.F.S., A.O.O., R.L.C., S.B.), Policy and Rehabilitation, King's College London, London, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • Lorna K. Fraser
    Affiliations
    Health Sciences (L.K.F.), University of York, York, North Yorkshire, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • Matthew Maddocks
    Affiliations
    Cicely Saunders Institute of Palliative Care (I.J.H., M.H., M.M., K.F.S., A.O.O., R.L.C., S.B.), Policy and Rehabilitation, King's College London, London, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • Katherine E. Sleeman
    Affiliations
    Cicely Saunders Institute of Palliative Care (I.J.H., M.H., M.M., K.F.S., A.O.O., R.L.C., S.B.), Policy and Rehabilitation, King's College London, London, UK

    King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust (I.J.H., K.F.S.), Denmark Hill, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • Adejoke O. Oluyase
    Affiliations
    Cicely Saunders Institute of Palliative Care (I.J.H., M.H., M.M., K.F.S., A.O.O., R.L.C., S.B.), Policy and Rehabilitation, King's College London, London, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • Rachel L. Chambers
    Affiliations
    Cicely Saunders Institute of Palliative Care (I.J.H., M.H., M.M., K.F.S., A.O.O., R.L.C., S.B.), Policy and Rehabilitation, King's College London, London, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • Nancy Preston
    Affiliations
    International Observatory on End of Life Care (N.P., L.D., C.W.), Division of Health Research, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • Lesley Dunleavy
    Affiliations
    International Observatory on End of Life Care (N.P., L.D., C.W.), Division of Health Research, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • Andy Bradshaw
    Affiliations
    Cicely Saunders Institute of Palliative Care (I.J.H., M.H., M.M., K.F.S., A.O.O., R.L.C., S.B.), Policy and Rehabilitation, King's College London, London, UK

    Wolfson Palliative Care Research Centre (A.B., F.E.M.M.), Hull York Medical School, University of Hull, Hull, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • Sabrina Bajwah
    Affiliations
    Cicely Saunders Institute of Palliative Care (I.J.H., M.H., M.M., K.F.S., A.O.O., R.L.C., S.B.), Policy and Rehabilitation, King's College London, London, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • Fliss E.M. Murtagh
    Affiliations
    Wolfson Palliative Care Research Centre (A.B., F.E.M.M.), Hull York Medical School, University of Hull, Hull, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • Catherine Walshe
    Affiliations
    International Observatory on End of Life Care (N.P., L.D., C.W.), Division of Health Research, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
    Search for articles by this author
  • On behalf of the
    Affiliations
    Cicely Saunders Institute of Palliative Care (I.J.H., M.H., M.M., K.F.S., A.O.O., R.L.C., S.B.), Policy and Rehabilitation, King's College London, London, UK

    Wolfson Palliative Care Research Centre (A.B., F.E.M.M.), Hull York Medical School, University of Hull, Hull, UK

    International Observatory on End of Life Care (N.P., L.D., C.W.), Division of Health Research, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK
Open AccessPublished:June 22, 2022DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpainsymman.2022.06.009

      Abstract

      Context

      Evidence of symptom control outcomes in severe COVID is scant.

      Objectives

      To determine changes in symptoms among people severely ill or dying with COVID supported by palliative care, and associations with treatments and survival.

      Methods

      Multicentre cohort study of people with COVID across England and Wales supported by palliative care services, during the pandemic in 2020 and 2021. We analysed clinical, demographic and survival data, symptom severity at baseline (referral to palliative care, first COVID assessment) and at three follow-up assessments using the Integrated Palliative care Outcome Scale – COVID version.

      Results

      We included 572 patients from 25 services, mostly hospital support teams; 496 (87%) were newly referred to palliative care with COVID, 75 (13%) were already supported by palliative care when they contracted COVID. At baseline, patients had a mean of 2.4 co-morbidities, mean age 77 years, a mean of five symptoms, and were often bedfast or semiconscious. The most prevalent symptoms were: breathlessness, weakness/lack of energy, drowsiness, anxiety, agitation, confusion/delirium, and pain. Median time in palliative care was 46 hours; 77% of patients died. During palliative care, breathlessness, agitation, anxiety, delirium, cough, fever, pain, sore/dry mouth and nausea improved; drowsiness became worse. Common treatments were low dose morphine and midazolam. Having moderate to severe breathlessness, agitation and multimorbidity were associated with shorter survival.

      Conclusion

      Symptoms of COVID quickly improved during palliative care. Breathlessness, agitation and multimorbidity could be used as triggers for timelier referral, and symptom guidance for wider specialities should build on treatments identified in this study.

      Key Words

      Key message

      In this multicentre cohort study of 572 patients with COVID, the symptoms of breathlessness, agitation, anxiety, delirium, cough, fever and pain were quickly improved during palliative care. This supports the role of palliative care for people with rapidly deteriorating disease. Triggers to prioritise future referrals include multimorbidity and severe breathlessness.

      Background

      Patients with COVID can experience rapid deterioration, may die, and often suffer severe symptoms, including breathlessness, cough, agitation and delirium.
      • Ting R
      • Edmonds P
      • Higginson IJ
      • Sleeman KE.
      Palliative care for patients with severe covid-19.
      ,
      • Keeley P
      • Buchanan D
      • Carolan C
      • Pivodic L
      • Tavabie S
      • Noble S.
      Symptom burden and clinical profile of COVID-19 deaths: a rapid systematic review and evidence summary.
      Because COVID was a new disease, early symptom management guidance and referral practices were initially based on evidence from conditions such as cancer, emerging clinical observations and audit.
      • Ting R
      • Edmonds P
      • Higginson IJ
      • Sleeman KE.
      Palliative care for patients with severe covid-19.
      There is scant evaluation of symptom treatment effectiveness in severe COVID, nor an understanding of patient trajectories over time, especially for patients who are sick enough to die.
      • Oluyase AO
      • Hocaoglu M
      • Cripps RL
      • et al.
      The challenges of caring for people dying from COVID-19: a Multinational, Observational Study (CovPall).
      • Bajwah S
      • Koffman J
      • Hussain J
      • et al.
      Specialist palliative care services response to ethnic minority groups with COVID-19: equal but inequitable—an observational study.
      • Bradshaw A
      • Dunleavy L
      • Walshe C
      • et al.
      Understanding and addressing challenges for advance care planning in the COVID-19 pandemic: an analysis of the UK CovPall survey data from specialist palliative care services.
      • Dunleavy L
      • Preston N
      • Bajwah S
      • et al.
      Necessity is the mother of invention’: Specialist palliative care service innovation and practice change in response to COVID-19. Results from a multinational survey (CovPall).
      • Walshe C
      • Garner I
      • Dunleavy L
      • et al.
      Prohibit, protect, or adapt? The changing role of volunteers in palliative and hospice care services during the COVID-19 pandemic. A Multinational Survey (Covpall).
      Information on optimal symptom management and timing of referral to palliative care, including factors associated with worse symptoms or shorter survival, are vital to improve clinical management in COVID, SARS and in similar respiratory illnesses. Differences between pandemic waves in presenting symptoms, infectivity and other epidemiological characteristics are described, probably influenced by prevention, SARS-CoV-2 variants, treatments and population characteristics.
      • Larsen JR
      • Martin MR
      • Martin JD
      • Hicks JB
      • Kuhn P.
      Modeling the onset of symptoms of COVID-19: effects of SARS-CoV-2 variant.
      • Saban M
      • Myers V
      • Wilf-Miron R.
      Changes in infectivity, severity and vaccine effectiveness against delta COVID-19 variant ten months into the vaccination program: The Israeli case.
      • Jablonska K
      • Aballea S
      • Auquier P
      • Toumi M.
      On the association between SARS-COV-2 variants and COVID-19 mortality during the second wave of the pandemic in Europe.
      However, we do not know whether these lead to differences among patients severely ill or dying with COVID. Characterisation of the cohorts of patients severely affected by COVID is needed to target clinical guidelines and care.
      This multicentre study aimed to determine the prevalence and severity of symptoms, using validated measures, among cohorts of patients severely ill or dying with COVID referred to palliative care. In the United Kingdom, palliative care is provided across several settings (i.e., hospital, hospice, inpatient units, nursing home, home, care homes) and include different healthcare professionals – generalists (General Practitioners or community nurses) as well as specialists (consultants trained in palliative medicine, specialist palliative care nurses, occupational therapists, or physiotherapists). We wanted to determine whether symptoms changed during palliative care and which treatments were used in instances where symptom control appeared most effective. Our null hypotheses were that there would be no differences between symptom severity scores between baseline and subsequent assessments. In addition, we explored whether there were differences between COVID waves, and by length of time receiving palliative care. We also identified factors associated with rapid deterioration to help target future interventions and referrals.

      Methods

      Design

      Multicentre cohort study of people with severe COVID seen and treated by palliative care services, focusing on hospital-based palliative care. The study received Health Research Authority (HRA, England) and Health and Care Research Wales (HCRW) approval (REC reference: 20/NW/0259); study co-sponsors: King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and King's College London, registered ISRCTN 16561225. It is reported according to STROBE

      STROBE Initiative. STROBE Statement. Available from: https://www.strobe-statement.org/checklists/. Accessed March 1, 2022.

      and MORECARE
      • Higginson IJ
      • Evans CJ
      • Grande G
      • et al.
      Evaluating complex interventions in End of Life Care: the MORECare Statement on good practice generated by a synthesis of transparent expert consultations and systematic reviews.
      statements. Patient, public and stakeholders informed the aims, methods, analysis plan and conclusions.

      Johnson H, Brighton LJ, Clark J, et al. Experiences, concerns, and priorities for palliative care research during the COVID-19 pandemic: A rapid virtual stakeholder consultation with people affected by serious illness in England. London: King's College London; 2020. Available from:https://kclpure.kcl.ac.uk/portal/files/130918874/PPI_COVID_REPORT_PC_25.06.2020_final.pdf#page=2. Accessed March 1, 2022.

      Settings

      Palliative care services within England and Wales were recruited via an earlier multinational survey.
      • Oluyase AO
      • Hocaoglu M
      • Cripps RL
      • et al.
      The challenges of caring for people dying from COVID-19: a Multinational, Observational Study (CovPall).
      We actively sought services from areas with different cultural/ethnic, geographic, and socioeconomic diversities. The initial survey included a wide range of inpatient and community services; it was mainly hospital services who offered to collect the required individual outcomes data for this study.
      Palliative care services were defined as: multi-professional teams of dedicated staff trained in palliative care, comprising doctors, nurses, and often social workers and therapists who specialised in palliative care.
      • Quill TE
      • Abernethy AP.
      Generalist plus specialist palliative care — creating a more sustainable model.
      In England and Wales these professionals provide active holistic care to individuals with serious health-related suffering due to severe illness and especially to those near the end of life.
      • Radbruch L
      • De Lima L
      • Knaul F
      • et al.
      Redefining palliative care-a new consensus-based definition.
      Services supported patients and those important to them, and advised colleagues, in one or more of the following settings: hospital palliative care team, inpatient palliative care unit (this could be a ward within a hospital, or a free-standing building), home palliative care team or home nursing.
      • Oluyase AO
      • Hocaoglu M
      • Cripps RL
      • et al.
      The challenges of caring for people dying from COVID-19: a Multinational, Observational Study (CovPall).
      These services work together to support patients and those important to them where they want to be cared for, working across boundaries and settings.

      Inclusion Criteria

      We included consecutive patients with COVID who were seen and treated by each participating palliative care service (hospital, community, voluntary hospice settings, including remote consultations). Patients were ≥18 years and had clinically diagnosed and/or test confirmed COVID. We included two distinct patient groups: A) those newly referred to palliative care because of illness due to COVID, and B) those already supported by palliative care who developed COVID. Services aimed to provide a consecutive series of 10 or more patients.

      Assessment Timing

      Data were collected at baseline and then up to three further time points, after 12–24 hours, 36–48 hours, and at discharge or death (supplementary Fig. S2). Baseline for our patient groups was either:
      • A)
        their first assessment in palliative care, referred because of illness due to COVID, therefore, not previously known to palliative care;
      • B)
        their first palliative care assessment after they became ill with COVID, this group was already supported by palliative care (having been referred earlier, e.g. due to advanced cancer).

      Data and Outcomes

      Data about the participating services was extracted from the multinational survey database.
      • Oluyase AO
      • Hocaoglu M
      • Cripps RL
      • et al.
      The challenges of caring for people dying from COVID-19: a Multinational, Observational Study (CovPall).
      For data about individual patients: at baseline we collected socio-demographic information, including gender, ethnicity, age, and deprivation based on patient's usual address, clinical details including co-morbidities, dates of first COVID symptoms, diagnosis and referral to palliative care.
      All assessments recorded: date and time of assessment, place of care, performance status according to the Australian Modified Karnofsky Performance Scale (AKPS), and palliative phase of illness (a clinician-completed assessment of whether patients are clinically stable, unstable, deteriorating, or dying).
      • Mather H
      • Guo P
      • Firth A
      • et al.
      Phase of Illness in palliative care: cross-sectional analysis of clinical data from community, hospital and hospice patients.
      Medicinal treatments were reported in free text fields for opioids and other medicines. Symptom severity was recorded according to the Integrated Palliative care Outcome Scale (IPOS)
      • Murtagh FE
      • Ramsenthaler C
      • Firth A
      • et al.
      A brief, patient- and proxy-reported outcome measure in advanced illness: Validity, reliability and responsiveness of the Integrated Palliative care Outcome Scale (IPOS).
      COVID specific version, the IPOS-COV. The IPOS is validated in many illnesses, multi-morbidities, cultures and settings.
      • Antunes B
      • Ferreira PL.
      Validation and cultural adaptation of the Integrated Palliative care Outcome Scale (IPOS) for the Portuguese population.
      • Roch C
      • Palzer J
      • Zetzl T
      • Stork S
      • Frantz S
      • van Oorschot B.
      Utility of the integrated palliative care outcome scale (IPOS): a cross-sectional study in hospitalised patients with heart failure.
      • Sterie AC
      • Borasio GD
      • Bernard M
      • French IC.
      Validation of the French version of the integrated palliative care outcome scale.
      • Veronese S
      • Rabitti E
      • Costantini M
      • Valle A
      • Higginson I.
      Translation and cognitive testing of the Italian Integrated Palliative Outcome Scale (IPOS) among patients and healthcare professionals.
      • Sandham MH
      • Medvedev ON
      • Hedgecock E
      • Higginson IJ
      • Siegert RJ.
      A rasch analysis of the integrated palliative care outcome scale.
      • Raj R
      • Ahuja K
      • Frandsen M
      • Murtagh FEM
      • Jose M.
      Validation of the IPOS-renal symptom survey in advanced kidney disease: a cross-sectional Study.
      IPOS-COV comprises all IPOS physical symptoms, the IPOS anxiety item, plus symptoms relevant to COVID (fever, cough, shivering, confusion/delirium, diarrhoea) using definitions from the longer POS precursor measures,
      • Hearn J
      • Higginson IJ.
      Development and validation of a core outcome measure for palliative care: the palliative care outcome scale. Palliative Care Core Audit Project Advisory Group.
      selected based on prior evidence and clinical review.
      • Lovell N
      • Maddocks M
      • Etkind SN
      • et al.
      Characteristics, symptom management, and outcomes of 101 patients with COVID-19 referred for hospital palliative care.
      ,
      Isaric Clinical Characterisation Group
      COVID-19 symptoms at hospital admission vary with age and sex: results from the ISARIC prospective multinational observational study.
      Items were rated on a 4 point scale from no problem/patient not affected (0) to overwhelming (4) using set definitions for each point. Open text comments about other symptoms, treatment or care were invited. In this study, professionals completed the assessments based on patient symptom severity, as part of standard clinical practice.
      At final assessment, additional data on whether the patient was still in care, discharged or died, and dates, times and places associated with outcomes of care such as the place of death, were collected.

      Procedures

      Clinical teams entered anonymised data into a REDCap database using a standardised case report form. Data were collected about patients cared for between February 2020 and February 2021, and entered between May 2020 and February 2021. Standard Operating Procedures, virtual training, anonymised and dummy case reviews and troubleshooting meetings ensured consistency and confidentiality. Due to waiting for UK Health Research Authority approvals, data were extracted from routinely collected clinical and administrative records until summer 2020, and entered prospectively during care where possible thereafter. Each participating site was allocated randomly generated REDCap codes, sent via secure NHS email, as an additional anonymity procedure.

      Analysis

      We analysed patient data according to the two different baseline groups described above, because the clinical circumstances of those already supported by palliative care may be different from those newly referred due to COVID illness. We conducted sensitivity analysis according to diagnosis of cancer or non-cancerous conditions, because of the high cancer prevalence in palliative care populations. We compared the characteristics of patients referred during UK pandemic wave 1 and wave 2. We followed widely used approaches to define the UK pandemic waves as reported by the King's Fund and the Office for National Statistics:
      • Raleigh V.
      Deaths from Covid-19 (coronavirus): how are they counted and what do they show?.
      ,
      Office for National Statistics
      Excess mortality and mortality displacement in England and Wales: 2020 to mid-2021.
      wave 1 (February to end August 2020), and wave 2 (September 2020 to end February 2021).
      We inspected missing data patterns in symptom assessments; missing data were expected due to the sickness of the population. Summary statistics explored baseline symptom prevalence, severity and changes during palliative care. Symptom data were skewed, therefore we plotted radar graphs of the prevalence (%) of common moderate to overwhelming symptoms (scores 2–4) according to three time periods between baseline and final assessment: <2 days (46 hours being the median time in palliative care), 2–4 days or >4 days. We also compared the scores on four subscales identified in factor analysis of IPOS-COV: BreathAg (sum of 3 symptoms, Breathlessness, Anxiety, Agitation, possible score ranges 0–12), Drow-Del (sum of 3 symptoms, Drowsiness, Weakness/Lack of energy, Confusion/Delirium, possible score ranges 0–12), Flu (sum of 5 symptoms, Sore or dry mouth/throat, Cough, Fever, Shivering, Pain, possible score ranges 0–20) and GI (sum of 2 symptoms, Nausea and Vomiting, possible score ranges 0–8).
      • Hocaoglu M
      • KE S
      • Maddocks M
      • et al.
      Patient-centredness in times of a pandemic: multicentre validation of an integrated patient outcome scale for people severely ill with COVID-19 (IPOS-COV).
      The original IPOS validation found that 5 point change on total IPOS score was a moderate clinical difference
      • Murtagh FE
      • Ramsenthaler C
      • Firth A
      • et al.
      A brief, patient- and proxy-reported outcome measure in advanced illness: Validity, reliability and responsiveness of the Integrated Palliative care Outcome Scale (IPOS).
      which on these subscales would translate to: 0.9 in BreathAg, 0.9 in Drow-Del, 1.5 in Flu and 0.6 in GI.
      Wilcoxon signed-rank test using all data points was used to identify significant differences between baseline, T1 and final scores for individual items and subscales. To avoid type I errors from multiple statistical testing, and balance for type II errors due to attrition, we used Hochberg's correction for multiple testing (procedures, www.multipletesting.com), based on unadjusted P < 0.05, this determined P ≤ 0.001 as significant.
      • Menyhart O
      • Weltz B
      • Gyorffy B
      MultipleTesting.com: a tool for life science researchers for multiple hypothesis testing correction.
      In sensitivity analysis, mean symptom scores were calculated and compared. Sample size calculations were based on follow up data from 80 patients in subgroups to detect a difference of ∼5 points on IPOS total score (SD = 6) between two groups (80 percent power, two-sided 0.05 significance level, mean Minimum Clinical Important Difference, SD based on previous research
      • Murtagh FE
      • Ramsenthaler C
      • Firth A
      • et al.
      A brief, patient- and proxy-reported outcome measure in advanced illness: Validity, reliability and responsiveness of the Integrated Palliative care Outcome Scale (IPOS).
      ), allowing for 50%–60% attrition from those who die before a second assessment. We were aware that the IPOS-COV and this population would be different from earlier research and so we aimed to exceed this sample size to allow for different score distributions.
      To understand more about which medicines and doses were beneficial, we identified a subgroup of patients whose scores for breathlessness and agitation both improved by ≥1 point on each POS item, and had data at baseline, T1 and final assessment. We focus on these two symptoms here as they were often the most distressing. We collated the free text information on symptom treatments used after baseline assessment up to final assessment for these patients.
      Using Cox proportional hazards modelling, we estimated multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios of multiple risk factors on the survival function (short survival used to indicate rapid deterioration), censored when cases were still in care or discharged. Here the censoring was noninformative, where censoring times of the patients was not influenced by their time of death.
      • Dey T
      • Mukherjee A
      • Chakraborty S.
      A practical overview and reporting strategies for statistical analysis of survival studies.
      We tested whether the proportional hazard assumption stands with inspection of Kaplan-Meier survival curves.
      • Stensrud MJ
      • Hernán MA.
      Why test for proportional hazards?.
      Parallel survival curves are an evidence that hazards in groups of cases are proportional over time.
      • Dey T
      • Mukherjee A
      • Chakraborty S.
      A practical overview and reporting strategies for statistical analysis of survival studies.
      We took into consideration the time-dependent covariates in the Cox model by including interactions of predictors as a function of survival time. We inspected whether any of the interaction terms were significant, which would suggest that the corresponding predictor is not proportional. P < 0.05 was taken as significant. Sensitivity analyses excluding cases from the largest site (n = 181) were carried out.

      Results

      Across England and Wales, 25 palliative care services provided data about 572 patients in their care; 7 to 181 (median 10) consecutive patients per service (Table 1, supplementary Table S2). This was sufficient for planned subgroup analysis. Four sites who originally agreed to take part and were sent anonymised codes were unable to collect data due to staffing pressures. Of the 25 services, 10 were managed by charities/not for profit organizations, 14 by the public sector (National Health Service) and one private (supplementary Table S1). Sixteen were primarily hospital palliative care teams offering advisory support (of these four had home palliative care as well), 13 had in-patient palliative care units (of these four provided home palliative care team support as well) (see Table S1, and Fig. S1). All cared for patients with COVID, had staff infected with COVID, and many experienced shortages of essential equipment or medicines (Table S1).
      Table 1Demographic and Clinical Characteristics of the Total Sample of Patients (n = 572) by Status at Baseline Assessment (not Previously Known or Already Supported by Palliative Care)
      Characteristics/VariableTotal SampleStatus at Baseline Assessment
      Not Previously Known to Palliative CareAlready Supported by Palliative Care
      n = 572
      1 case is missing most of the demographic and clinical information, most present findings from n = 571 Survival Time is calculated from the date and time of the baseline assessment to time and date of death.
      n = 496 (86.7%)n = 75 (13.1%)
      Age, mean (median, range)77.2 (80, 32 to 102)78.1 (80, 32 to 102)71.4 (72, 38 to 96)
      Sex, women n (%)264 (46.2)227 (45.8)36 (48)
      Ethnicity, n (%)
      White (British and other)436 (79.9)372 (79)64 (86.5)
      Other
      includes Asian/Asian British, Black/African/Caribbean/Black British, Arab, Mixed/Multiple ethnic groups.
      110 (20.1)99 (21)10 (13.5)
      Index of multiple deprivation deciles, mean (median, range)5 (4, 1 to 10)4.9 (4, 1 to 10)5.7 (6, 1 to 10)
      Number of symptoms recorded at baseline mean (median, range)4.9 (5, 0 to 12)4.9 (5, 0 to 12)5 (5, 0 to 10)
      Numbers of moderate to overwhelming symptoms at baseline mean (median, range)3.5 (3, 0 to 9)3.6 (3, 0 to 9)3.2 (3, 0 to 7)
      Numbers of comorbidities mean (median, range)2.4 (2, 0 to 7)2.4 (2, 0 to 7)2.1 (2, 0 to 6)
      Place of care on admission/baseline, n (%)
      Hospital-based specialist palliative care teams (Acute Hospital Ward, ICU and ED)402 (72)370 (76.6)31 (41.9)
      Inpatient hospice/palliative care ward146 (26.2)104 (21.5)42 (56.8)
      Care home including own home and sheltered housing10 (1.8)9 (1.9)3≥
      Baseline Integrated Palliative care Outcome Scale - COVID (IPOS-COV
      IPOS-COV subscales - higher scores indicate worsening impact on the patient's wellbeing.
      ) subscales, mean (median, range)
      Breathlessness and agitation3.9 (3, 0 to 12)4 (4, 0 to 12)2.7 (2, 0 to 10)
      Drowsiness and delirium4.4 (4, 0 to 12)4.6 (4, 0 to 12)3.4 (3, 0 to 8)
      Flu-like symptoms2.4 (2, 0 to 12)2.4 (2, 0 to 12)3.1 (3, 0 to 7)
      Gastro-intestinal0.2 (0, 0 to 5)0.2 (0, 0 to 5)0.2 (0, 0 to 4)
      Symptom burden (baseline IPOS-COV scores
      Possible scores range from 0 to 4, higher scores indicating higher levels of burden
      ) mean (median, range)
      Breathlessness1.8 (2, 0 to 4)1.9 (2, 0 to 4)1.3 (1, 0 to 4)
      Weakness/lack of energy2.4 (3, 0 to 4)2.4 (3, 0 to 4)2.1 (2, 0 to 4)
      Drowsiness1.4 (1, 0 to 4)1.5 (1.5, 0 to 4)0.8 (0, 0 to 4)
      Anxiety1.1 (1, 0 to 4)1.1 (1, 0 to 4)1.1 (1, 0 to 4)
      Agitation1 (0, 0 to 4)1 (0, 0 to 4)0.5 (0, 0 to 4)
      Confusion/delirium0.9 (0, 0 to 4)0.9 (0, 0 to 4)0.7 (0, 0 to 3)
      Pain0.8 (0, 0 to 4)0.7 (0, 0 to 4)1.1 (1, 0 to 3)
      Sore or dry mouth/throat0.7 (0, 0 to 4)0.7 (0, 0 to 4)0.5 (0, 0 to 3)
      Cough0.6 (0, 0 to 4)0.6 (0, 0 to 4)1.1 (1, 0 to 3)
      Fever0.5 (0, 0 to 4)0.5 (0, 0 to 4)0.8 (0, 0 to 4)
      Shivering0.1 (0, 0 to 3)0 (0, 0 to 3)0.1 (0, 0 to 1)
      Diarrhoea0.1 (0, 0 to 3)0 (0, 0 to 3)0.2 (0, 0 to 3)
      Nausea0.2 (0, 0 to 3)0.2 (0, 0 to 3)0.2 (0, 0 to 2)
      Vomiting0.1 (0, 0 to 4)0.1 (0, 0 to 4)0.1 (0, 0 to 2)
      Baseline AKPS score, mean (median, range)24.3 (20, 10 to 90)22.9 (20, 10 to 90)33.3 (30, 10 to 60)
      Baseline oxygen saturation (%) mean (median, range)90.4 (93,48 to 100)90 (92, 48 to 100)93.4 (95, 75 to 100)
      Proportion of patients with baseline oxygen saturation below 90% n (%)136 (23.8)128 (25.8)8 (10.7)
      Baseline oxygen therapy n (%)
      Room air192 (33.6)147 (29.6)45 (60)
      Oxygen via nasal prongs116 (20.3)96 (19.4)19 (25.3)
      Oxygen via hudson mask83 (14.5)81 (16.3)3≥
      Rebreather mask113 (19.8)108 (21.8)5 (6.7)
      BiPAP or CPAP25 (4.4)24 (4.8)3≥
      High flow nasal prongs40 (7)39 (7.9)3≥
      Ventilated0 (0)0 (0)0 (0)
      Treatment reported at baseline, yes n (%)
      Regular opioids prescribed before referral to palliative care245 (42.9)202 (40.8)43 (57.3)
      Medication given when necessary (PRN, from Latin, pro re nata) opioids prescribed335 (58.6)298 (60.1)37 (49.3)
      Outcome at the end of the study observation and follow-up period, n (%)
      Died417 (73)381 (77)36 (48)
      Discharged or still in care154 (27)114 (23)39 (52)
      Survival time in hours, median (mean, range)45.9 (98.6, 0.5 to 1825.9)45.4 (86.9, 0.5 to 1825.9)73.4 (222.2, 8.3 to 1536)
      Time periods of COVID waves, n (%)
      Wave 1 (February 2020 – August 2020)316 (61.4)269 (60.9)47 (64.4)
      Wave 2 (September 2020 – February 2021)199 (38.6)173 (39.1)26 (35.6)
      Hours between first presentation of COVID symptoms and referral to palliative care
      Negative values indicate that the patient presented COVID symptoms after their referral to palliative care, whereas positive values indicate that patients presented COVID symptoms and were then referred to palliative care.
      , median (mean, range)
      144 (146.9, -8352 to 8352)192 (250.9, 0 to 8352)-192 (-481, -24 to -8352)
      is negative because these patients were supported by palliative care before contracting COVID, and so this indicates time in palliative care before contracting COVID.
      Deaths, n (%)417 (73)381 (77)36 (48)
      Place of death, n (%)
      Hospital-based specialist palliative care teams (Acute Hospital Ward, ICU and ED)316 (76.9)300 (80)16 (44.4)
      Inpatient hospice/palliative care ward86 (20.9)67 (17.9)19 (52.8)
      Care home including own home and sheltered housing9 (2.2)8 (2.1)3≥
      AKPS = Australian Modified Karnofsky Performance Scale; BiPAP = bilevel positive airway pressure; CPAP = continuous positive airway pressure therapy; ED = Emergency Department; ICU = Intensive Care Unit; PRN = administration of prescribed medication as needed.
      a 1 case is missing most of the demographic and clinical information, most present findings from n = 571Survival Time is calculated from the date and time of the baseline assessment to time and date of death.
      b IPOS-COV subscales - higher scores indicate worsening impact on the patient's wellbeing.
      c includes Asian/Asian British, Black/African/Caribbean/Black British, Arab, Mixed/Multiple ethnic groups.
      d is negative because these patients were supported by palliative care before contracting COVID, and so this indicates time in palliative care before contracting COVID.
      e Negative values indicate that the patient presented COVID symptoms after their referral to palliative care, whereas positive values indicate that patients presented COVID symptoms and were then referred to palliative care.
      f Possible scores range from 0 to 4, higher scores indicating higher levels of burden
      Of the 572 patients, most (496, 87%) were newly referred to palliative care with their COVID illness, 75 (13%) were already supported by palliative care when they contracted COVID and entered the study (Table 1). Of our sample, 61% were in wave one, and 39% in wave two, with the dates of study entry clustering around the wave peaks (Supplementary Fig. S3). Just under half were women, mean age was 77 years, median 80, range 32 to 102 years, most were supported by hospital palliative care teams. Around 80% were from White (British or other) ethnic groups, 20% from other ethnic groups; the proportions from non-White Ethnic groups were higher in wave 2 than wave 1 (Supplementary Table S1), possibly due to the inclusion of more patients from ethnically diverse inner city areas during wave 2 (Supplementary Table S2).
      On average patients had 2.4 co-morbidities alongside COVID, range 0 to 7 (Table 1). The most prevalent co-morbidities were: hypertension (46%), metastatic solid tumour (27%), diabetes (26%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (25%), renal disease (23%), dementia (22%), cerebrovascular disease (16%), congestive cardiac failure (15%), myocardial infarction (11%), and non-metastatic solid tumour (11%). Co-morbidities of hypertension, dementia, renal disease and cerebrovascular disease were significantly more prevalent in the group newly referred to palliative care with COVID; whereas tumours (metastatic or not) were significantly more prevalent in the group already supported by palliative care (Fig. 1). There were no significant differences in morbidities between waves, except for hypertension (42% wave 1, v 53% wave 2) and metastatic cancer (32% wave 1 v 18% wave 2). The proportion of patients with baseline oxygen saturations level below 90% were lower in patients already supported by palliative care and those with cancer. Litres of oxygen received in the last 12 hours ranged from 0.3 to 89, where most patients (42%) received 15 litres (Table S3).
      Fig 1
      Fig. 1Co-morbidities in our sample, according to whether patients were supported by palliative care before contracting COVID or were newly referred to palliative care because of COVID. a significant difference between groups with referred due to COVID group higher, Pearson chi-squared >4.68, df = 1, P < 0.031, b significant difference between groups with supported by palliative care higher, Pearson chi-squared >9.16, df = 1, P < 0.002.
      Patients were newly referred to palliative care after a median of 144 hours (6 days) following their diagnosis of COVID. Compared with patients already supported by palliative care, newly referred patients with COVID had greater functional impairment according to the AKPS (Supplementary Fig. S4), were in the dying phase of illness at referral (44% vs. 17%, chi squared = 21.6, df = 3. P < 0.001), died during the study (77% v 48%) and had shorter survival (1.9 v 3.1 days following baseline assessment).

      Symptoms at Baseline and in Follow-up

      Of the 572 patients, 7 (1%) had no IPOS-COV assessments recorded. There were some missing data for individual items when these could not be assessed by the teams, often because patients were unconscious. Baseline individual assessments were missing for <5% patients for breathlessness, 5%–10% patients for fever, cough, pain, vomiting, agitation, drowsiness, weakness, diarrhoea, vomiting and 11%–15% for shivering, sore or dry mouth, anxiety, confusion/delirium and nausea.
      At baseline the most prevalent moderate to severe symptoms were: weakness/lack of energy (79%), breathlessness (63%), drowsiness (46%), anxiety (36%) and agitation (34%), each with moderate to overwhelming levels for more than one third of patients (Table 2), and present in almost half of the patients (supplementary Table S3). Patients had a median of 5 symptoms overall, with few differences between referral groups (Tables 1 and 2). The ‘Drow-Del’ (3 symptoms, Drowsiness, Weakness/Lack of energy, Confusion/Delirium) and ‘BreathAg’ subscales (3 symptoms, Breathlessness, Anxiety, Agitation), had the highest scores, despite ‘Flu’ being a sum of five symptoms. Scores for ‘GI’ were low, indicating this was rarely a problem. Mean scores showed similar patterns (supplementary Table S6). Symptoms across settings and subgroups of patients appeared similar (Table 1), although some subgroups were small and the study was not designed to test for differences between subgroups. The improvement in BreathAg mean score was of moderate clinical difference.
      Table 2Prevalence
      Prevalence expressed as percentage (%) of total cases with valid data.
      of Moderate to Overwhelming Symptoms and IPOS-COV Subscale Scores at Baseline, Time 1, Time 2 and Final Assessments
      IPOS-COVBaseline (T0) AssessmentTime 1 (T1) AssessmentTime 2 (T2) AssessmentFinal (TF) Assessment
      Symptoms%n/N
      Denominators exclude cases whose symptoms could not be assessed.
      %n/N
      Denominators exclude cases whose symptoms could not be assessed.
      %n/N
      Denominators exclude cases whose symptoms could not be assessed.
      %n/N
      Denominators exclude cases whose symptoms could not be assessed.
      Breathlessness62.7340/54245.8192/41938.0111/29236.1177/490
      Weakness/lack of energy79.4402/50676.6298/38977.3208/26972.6310/427
      Drowsiness46.3242/52349.9201/40347.9134/28057.2259/453
      Anxiety35.5167/47127.6102/36921.357/26816.870/416
      Agitation33.6170/50627.6109/39517.648/27219.392/476
      Confusion/delirium29.8145/48626.6102/38320.655/26713.658/428
      Pain26.0137/52723.596/40819.456/28811.957/479
      Sore or dry mouth/throat20.6101/49018.271/39114.941/27511.049/445
      Cough23.5121/51513.454/40214.241/2885.224/464
      Fever17.894/5298.533/3873.39/2766.328/448
      Nausea5.125/4924.216/3833.08/2691.46/424
      Diarrhoea3.317/5183.012/3952.57/2782.110/471
      Shivering1.05/4981.04/3900.72/2730.00
      Vomiting1.910/5301.25/4092.16/2850.63/482
      Integrated Palliative care Outcome Scale - COVID (IPOS-COV) mean (median, range)
      IPOS-COV subscale scores presented from the total sample.
      Breathlessness and Agitation (BreathAg)3.9 (3, 0 to 12)2.9 (2, 0 to 12)2.4 (2, 0 to 10)2.3 (2, 0 to 12)
      Drowsiness and Delirium (Drow-Del)4.4 (4, 0 to 12)4.6 (4, 0 to 12)4.4 (4, 0 to 11)4.6 (5, 0 to 12)
      Flu-like symptoms (Flu)2.4 (2, 0 to 12)2 (2, 0 to 9)1.6 (1, 0 to 9)1.1 (0, 0 to 10)
      Gastro-Intestinal (GI)0.2 (0, 0 to 5)0.2 (0 to 6)0.2 (0, 0 to 6)0.1 (0, 0 to 4)
      a Prevalence expressed as percentage (%) of total cases with valid data.
      b Denominators exclude cases whose symptoms could not be assessed.
      c IPOS-COV subscale scores presented from the total sample.
      Between baseline and final assessments during palliative care the severity of nine symptoms: breathlessness, cough, pain, anxiety, confusion/delirium, agitation, fever, sore/dry mouth and nausea significantly reduced (Wilcoxon standardised (Z) test statistics were respectively: -10.3, -8.5, -7.7, -7, -5.6, -5.4, -5.4, -5.3, -4.4, P ranged <0.0001 to <0.001, supplementary Table S7). During palliative care support fewer patients experienced moderate to severe symptoms (Table 2, supplementary Table S2, Fig. 2). Improvements in these symptoms were apparent even when patients had <2 days in care, although longer time in care (>2 days) appeared to have a pattern of lower final symptoms, for example for breathlessness (Fig. 2). Drowiness significantly deteriorated over time (Wilcoxon standardised (Z) test statistic = 5.6, P < 0.001); vomiting, shivering and diarrhoea showed trends toward improvement that did not meet our thresholds for significance, and weakness/lack of energy was unchanged (supplementary Table S7). Three subscales (BreathAg, Flu and GI) also showed significant improvements (Wilcoxen Z respectively = -8.4, -9.4, -3.9, P ranging <0.001 to <0.0001), while Drow-Del (sum of 3 symptoms, Drowsiness, Weakness/Lack of energy, Confusion/Delirium) showed no significant change (supplementary Table S7). Sensitivity analysis found similar changes (supplementary Tables S10–12, Fig. S6–7).
      Fig 2
      Fig. 2(a–c) Radar plots showing baseline and final moderate to severe symptom prevalence according to days in palliative care before death (, shows the test results).
      Inspection of treatments used in patients with ≥1 point improvements for both breathlessness and agitation and three assessments, identified that at baseline 8/23 patients were on regular opioids, and by final assessments all patients were on regular opioids. Morphine sulphate and midazolam in small doses (e.g. 10 mg in continuous subcutaenous infusion of each over 24 hours) were most commonly used. This was supplemented as required by low dose morphine and midazolam (Table 3). Similar doses and medicines were seen among patients with shorter periods of time in care.
      Table 3Common Medicines Prescribed for Patients Whose Breathlessness and Agitation Showed Greatest Improvements Over Time
      Regular MedicinesAs Required Medicines (PRN)
      Opioids given in Continuous Subcutaneous Infusion (CSCI) via a syringe driver over 24 hours



      Morphine Sulphate, doses ranging 5 to 40 mg, median dose 10 mg (13/23 patients, the last 24 hours of life for 1–2 patients had the higher doses in this range)



      Oxycodone, doses ranging 7.5 to 50 mg (3/23 patients, the patient on 50 mg had been on oxycodone prior to contracting COVID)



      Fentanyl, doses ranging 100 to 200 mcg s/c (3/23 patients)

      Fentanyl 12 microgram patch (1/23 patient)



      Oral opioids

      Morphine Sulphate MR 50 mg twice daily (1/23 patient, already receiving when contracted COVID)

      Oxycodone 5 mg PO twice daily (1/23 patient)



      Other medicines given CSCI over 24 hours

      Midazolam, doses ranging 2.5 to 30 mg, median dose 10 mg, (10/23 patients, the last 24 hours of life for 1–2 patients had the higher doses in this range)



      Levomepromazine, 12.5 mg (4 patients)



      Other medicines given regularly for some patients included:

      Paracetamol, Dexamethasone,

      Salbutamol, Saline nebuliser

      Glycopyrronium, Hyoscine butylbromide

      Gabapentin, Pregabalin, Amitriptyline

      Senna, Sodium Docusate, Metoclopramide, Omeprazole, Nystatin

      Opioids prescribed as required subcutaneously, doses and medicine chosen were concordant with usual practice alongside regular opioids



      Morphine sulphate, doses ranging 1 to 2.5 mg s/c (14/23, also prescribed for the one patient not on regular CSCI opioids)



      Oxycodone, doses ranging 1.25–8 mg (3 patients)



      Fentanyl, doses ranging 12.5 to 25 mcg (4 patients)



      Other medicines prescribed as required subcutaneously

      Midazolam, doses ranging 2 to 5 mg

      Levomepromazine, doses ranging 6.25 to 12.5 mg

      Haloperidol, doses ranging 0.5–1.5 mg



      Other medicines prescribed as required for some patients included:

      Glycopyrronium, 400 mcg subcutaneously

      Hyoscine butylbromide, 20 mg subcutaneously

      Lorazepam, doses ranging 0.5 to 1 mg sublingually



      Note that it is often reported that the as required medicines were not used or needed only occasionally
      PRN = administration of prescribed medication as needed.

      Factors Associated With More Rapid Deterioration/Shorter Survival

      Having, at baseline, more moderate to severe symptoms, more co-morbidities, and moderate to severe levels of breathlessness and agitation were significantly associated with shorter survival (Table 4). A clear dose-response of shorter survival with more severe breathlessness and agitation can be seen (Fig. 3). There was no difference in survival between waves. A similar pattern was seen on survival with breathlessness prevalence (supplementary Fig. S7). Sensitivity analyses produced similar results to the main analyses (supplementary Tables S7–12, Fig. S6–7).
      Table 4Cox Proportional Hazards Model (n = 361
      Data for the independent variables in the model are only complete for these cases, therefore the sample size is smaller than the original sample.
      ) of Multiple Risk Factors on the Survival Function (Short Survival Used to Indicate Rapid Deterioration)
      Independent VariablesBSEWaldDfSig.Exp(B)95.0% CI for Exp(B)
      LowerUpper
      Number of moderate to overwhelming symptoms the patient presented with at baseline−0.100.045.7910.0160.910.840.98
      Boldface indicates significant at p < 0.05.
      Do the patients have cancer? (Y/N)−0.310.145.0110.0250.740.560.96
       Gender−0.090.120.5610.4550.920.721.16
       Age0.000.010.3810.5381.000.991.01
       Number of Comorbidities of COVID patients0.080.043.7610.0531.081.001.16
      Baseline breathlessness (not at all) Reference35.524<0.001
       Baseline breathlessness (slightly)0.010.240.0010.9561.010.641.61
       Baseline breathlessness (moderately)0.490.215.1610.0231.631.072.47
       Baseline breathlessness (severely)0.790.2212.601<0.0012.211.433.42
       Baseline breathlessness (overwhelming)1.370.2824.041<0.0013.932.276.79
      Baseline agitation (not at all) Reference19.404<0.001
      Baseline agitation (slightly)0.390.184.8410.0281.481.042.10
      Baseline agitation (moderately)0.570.1711.621<0.0011.771.272.46
      Baseline agitation (severely)0.500.215.9910.0141.651.112.47
      Baseline agitation (overwhelming)1.280.3910.6910.0013.611.677.79
      Waves of COVID (Wave 1: January – August 2020, Wave 2: September 2020 – January 2021)−0.040.120.0810.7720.970.761.22
      a Data for the independent variables in the model are only complete for these cases, therefore the sample size is smaller than the original sample.
      b Boldface indicates significant at p < 0.05.
      Fig 3
      Fig. 3(a–c) Kaplan-Meier Survival Curve of patients referred to palliative care with (a) different waves of the pandemic (n = 458), (b) different levels of baseline breathlessness (n = 483) and (c) different levels of agitation (n = 449).

      Discussion

      This is the first study to quantify the complexity, severity of, and changes in symptoms experienced by patients supported by palliative care teams across multiple settings during two waves of the COVID pandemic. Patients were referred with a complex myriad of symptoms, in particular breathlessness, weakness, anxiety, agitation, and often severe illness, with short survival (average time in care 46 hours). Despite this nine symptoms (breathlessness, cough, pain, anxiety, confusion/delirium, agitation, fever, sore/dry mouth and nausea) improved whilst receiving palliative care; drowiness became more severe. Having longer than two days supported by palliative care seemed to offer greater benefits in terms of final symptom outcomes. Breathlessness, agitation and multimorbidity were significantly associated with shorter survival.
      Analysis of cohorts of patients indicates that the usual course for individuals severely ill or dying with COVID results in increasing symptom severity and suffering over time.
      • Keeley P
      • Buchanan D
      • Carolan C
      • Pivodic L
      • Tavabie S
      • Noble S.
      Symptom burden and clinical profile of COVID-19 deaths: a rapid systematic review and evidence summary.
      ,
      • Dewhurst F
      • Billett H
      • Simkiss L
      • et al.
      Multicenter evaluation of 434 hospital deaths from COVID-19: how can we improve end-of-life care during a pandemic?.
      ,
      • Poston JT
      • Patel BK
      • Davis AM.
      Management of critically Ill adults with COVID-19.
      Therefore, our findings of symptom improvements during palliative care for these nine symptoms are very encouraging and suggest that symptoms can be ameliorated. Little is known about effectiveness of therapeutics for symptoms in COVID,
      • Poston JT
      • Patel BK
      • Davis AM.
      Management of critically Ill adults with COVID-19.
      ,
      • Onder G
      • Rezza G
      • Brusaferro S.
      Case-fatality rate and characteristics of patients dying in relation to COVID-19 in Italy.
      so this is an important contribution for the many clinicians who care for patients with COVID, both within, and perhaps even more crucially outwith specialist palliative care. These improvements were achieved in the context of relatively small doses (compared to, for example, doses used in cancer patients)
      • Gagnon B
      • Scott S
      • Nadeau L
      • Lawlor PG.
      Patterns of community-based opioid prescriptions in people dying of cancer.
      of commonly used medicines, such as morphine and midazolam. This provides the first multicentre, outcome-based data on symptom treatments in severely ill COVID patients.
      • Ting R
      • Edmonds P
      • Higginson IJ
      • Sleeman KE.
      Palliative care for patients with severe covid-19.
      ,
      • Lovell N
      • Maddocks M
      • Etkind SN
      • et al.
      Characteristics, symptom management, and outcomes of 101 patients with COVID-19 referred for hospital palliative care.
      ,
      • McFarlane P
      • Halley A
      • Kano Y
      • Wade N
      • Wilson S
      • Droney J.
      End-of-life experiences for cancer patients dying in hospital with COVID-19.
      We did not find differences between pandemic waves in symptoms or survival.
      During the pandemic, palliative care services responded rapidly to provide symptom support and care, including at the end of life. In areas of high COVID prevalence palliative care became extremely stretched with staff and other shortages.
      • Oluyase AO
      • Hocaoglu M
      • Cripps RL
      • et al.
      The challenges of caring for people dying from COVID-19: a Multinational, Observational Study (CovPall).
      We found that the duration in palliative care was very short (less than 2 days), which meant that they had to work in this complex situation very quickly,
      • Bradshaw A
      • Dunleavy L
      • Walshe C
      • et al.
      Understanding and addressing challenges for advance care planning in the COVID-19 pandemic: an analysis of the UK CovPall survey data from specialist palliative care services.
      contributing to pressures on staff. Despite this, our findings show that palliative care support can make a major difference even in little time. Our data suggest that longer periods in care could lead to even greater symptom improvements. This finding is supported by research in other conditions, where early palliative care is associated with improved quality of life and survival.
      • Simone II, CB
      Early palliative care and integration of palliative care models in modern oncology practices.
      ,
      • Temel JS
      • Greer JA
      • Muzikansky A
      • et al.
      Early palliative care for patients with metastatic non–small-cell lung cancer.
      We found that three factors (multimorbidity, breathlessness and agitation) could identify patients with shorter survival (more rapid deterioration). These should be available in clinical records and could be employed as clinical triggers for referral to palliative care in COVID.
      Our study has several limitations. We conducted a cohort study, without a randomly allocated control, and so cannot say that improvements in symptoms were caused by the treatments prescribed or the interventions of palliative care. However, we present the highest level of evidence currently available on the effective management of symptoms in people severely affected by or dying from COVID, with data from multiple sites, in an ethnically diverse population and in the largest study to our knowledge. In addition, because of the condition of many patients, 30% unstable, 37% deteriorating, 40% dying, we had to rely on staff assessments; families or friends also often being absent due to infection control measures. This may have caused some biases, staff may have reported differently than patients, and may have sought evidence of improvements, aware of the treatments given, or been influenced by burden of care, burnout, and resource limitations.
      • Gräske J
      • Meyer S
      • Wolf-Ostermann K.
      Quality of life ratings in dementia care–a cross-sectional study to identify factors associated with proxy-ratings.
      However, research into IPOS has found acceptable or good agreement between most patient self-reported and staff proxy-reported physical symptoms, suggesting that our data are sound.
      • Murtagh FE
      • Ramsenthaler C
      • Firth A
      • et al.
      A brief, patient- and proxy-reported outcome measure in advanced illness: Validity, reliability and responsiveness of the Integrated Palliative care Outcome Scale (IPOS).
      Furthermore, staff reported that some symptoms worsened, for every symptom studied there were some patients who did not improve or deteriorated, and overall drowsiness deteriorated, as might be expected as patients approach the end of life. In addition, staff assessments were consistently used for all patients, and at all time points, so there was no switching between patient and proxy data which would have risked additional biases. Patient assessments at the end of life are often limited, impossible or unreliable because of patient illness and/or cognitive impairment. In our study, training and reviews were carried out to harmonize ratings and improve validity and reliability. Nonetheless, there were some missing symptom data. Finally, when modelling survival, lead time bias may have led to a superficial increase in patient's survival, as some patients such as those known to palliative care may have tested positive for COVID and referred to palliative care before onset of severe symptoms. However, as the patients referred to palliative care were presenting with severe symptoms, we believe that lead bias is minimised.

      Conclusions

      In this large multicentre study of people with severe COVID supported by palliative care, people had complex morbidities and symptoms. Despite this, nine symptoms improved during palliative care, breathlessness, cough, pain, anxiety, confusion/delirium, agitation, fever, sore/dry mouth and nausea; drowiness became more severe. Common low dose medicines were used, such as morphine and midazolam, which can inform future guidance. Breathlessness, agitation, multiple symptoms and multimorbidity could be used as triggers for earlier referral, which could be helpful given the short time in palliative care (median 46 hours) and the pressures on services.

      Author Contributions

      IJH is the grant holder and chief investigator; KES, MM, FEM, CW, NP, LKF, SB, MBH and AO are co-applicants for funding. IJH and CW with critical input from all authors wrote the protocol for the CovPall study. MBH co-ordinated data collection and liaised with centres, with input from AO, RC, CW, NP, FM and SB. IJH and MBH analysed the data, with input from LKF. All authors had access to all study data, discussed the interpretation of findings and take responsibility for data integrity and analysis. IJH and MBH drafted the manuscript. All authors contributed to the analysis plan and provided critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content. IJH is the guarantor.
      For the purpose of open access, the author has applied a Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) licence to any Author Accepted Manuscript version arising.

      The CovPall Study Group

      CovPall Study Team: Professor Irene J Higginson (Chief Investigator), Dr Sabrina Bajwah (Co-I), Dr Matthew Maddocks (Co-I), Professor Fliss Murtagh (Co-I), Professor Nancy Preston (Co-I), Dr Katherine E Sleeman (Co-I), Professor Catherine Walshe (Co-I), Professor Lorna K Fraser (Co-I), Dr Mevhibe B Hocaoglu (Co-I), Dr Adejoke Oluyase (Co-I), Dr Andrew Bradshaw, Lesley Dunleavy and Rachel L Chambers.
      CovPall Study Partners: Hospice UK, Marie Curie, Sue Ryder, Palliative Outcome Scale Team, European Association of Palliative Care (EAPC), Together for Short Lives and Scottish Partnership for Palliative Care.

      Disclosures and Acknowledgments

      The authors thank staff, patients and families at the following services that took part in this study: Cardiff and Vale University Health Board; Douglas Macmillan Hospice; Hayward House Specialist Palliative Care Unit; Hull University Teaching Hospitals NHS; John Taylor Hospice; King's College Hospital; Lewisham & Greenwich NHS Trust; Loros Hospice; Marie Curie Hospice West Midlands; Northumbria Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust; Poole Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and Forest Holme Hospice; Princess Royal University Hospital; Royal Berkshire Hospital NHS Trust; Royal Marsden Hospital; Royal Trinity Hospice; Salford Royal NHS Foundation Trust; Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (The Macmillan Palliative Care Unit and the advisory SPC service to 3 hospitals (Weston Park, Royal Hallamshire, and Northern General); St Barnabas Hospice; St Gemma's Hospice; St Giles Hospice; Sue Ryder Leckhampton Court Hospice; University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust; Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust; York Teaching Hospital NHS Foundation Trust: York Hospital, Scarborough Hospital.
      This study was part of CovPall, a multinational study. This research was primarily supported by Medical Research Council grant number MR/V012908/1. Additional support was from the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR), Applied Research Collaboration, South London, hosted at King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, and Cicely Saunders International (Registered Charity No. 1087195).We thank all collaborators and advisors. We thank all participants, partners, PPI members and our Study Steering Group. We gratefully acknowledge technical assistance from the Precision Health Informatics Data Lab group (https://phidatalab.org) at National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Biomedical Research Centre at South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust and King's College London for the use of REDCap for data capture.
      IJH is a National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Emeritus Senior Investigator and is supported by the NIHR Applied Research Collaboration (ARC) South London (SL) at King's College Hospital National Health Service Foundation Trust. IJH leads the Palliative and End of Life Care theme of the NIHR ARC SL and co-leads the national theme in this. MM is funded by a National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Career Development Fellowship (CDF-2017-10-009) and NIHR ARC SL. LKF is funded by a NIHR Career Development Fellowship (award CDF-2018-11-ST2-002). KES is the Laing Galazka Chair in palliative care, funded by an endowment from Cicely Saunders International and Kirby Laing. RC is funded by Cicely Saunders International and Marie Curie. FEM is a NIHR Senior Investigator. MBH is supported by the NIHR ARC SL. The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NIHR, or the Department of Health and Social Care. The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

      Appendix. Supplementary materials

      References

        • Ting R
        • Edmonds P
        • Higginson IJ
        • Sleeman KE.
        Palliative care for patients with severe covid-19.
        BMJ. 2020; 370 (PMID: 32665316)m2710https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m2710
        • Keeley P
        • Buchanan D
        • Carolan C
        • Pivodic L
        • Tavabie S
        • Noble S.
        Symptom burden and clinical profile of COVID-19 deaths: a rapid systematic review and evidence summary.
        BMJ SupporPalliat Care. 2020; 10: 381-384
        • Oluyase AO
        • Hocaoglu M
        • Cripps RL
        • et al.
        The challenges of caring for people dying from COVID-19: a Multinational, Observational Study (CovPall).
        J Pain Symptom Manage. 2021; 62: 460-470
        • Bajwah S
        • Koffman J
        • Hussain J
        • et al.
        Specialist palliative care services response to ethnic minority groups with COVID-19: equal but inequitable—an observational study.
        BMJ Support Palliat Care. 2021; https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjspcare-2021-003083
        • Bradshaw A
        • Dunleavy L
        • Walshe C
        • et al.
        Understanding and addressing challenges for advance care planning in the COVID-19 pandemic: an analysis of the UK CovPall survey data from specialist palliative care services.
        Palliat Med. 2021; 35: 1225-1237
        • Dunleavy L
        • Preston N
        • Bajwah S
        • et al.
        Necessity is the mother of invention’: Specialist palliative care service innovation and practice change in response to COVID-19. Results from a multinational survey (CovPall).
        Palliat Med. 2021; 35: 814-829
        • Walshe C
        • Garner I
        • Dunleavy L
        • et al.
        Prohibit, protect, or adapt? The changing role of volunteers in palliative and hospice care services during the COVID-19 pandemic. A Multinational Survey (Covpall).
        Int J Health Policy Manage. 2021; 8https://doi.org/10.34172/ijhpm.2021.128
        • Larsen JR
        • Martin MR
        • Martin JD
        • Hicks JB
        • Kuhn P.
        Modeling the onset of symptoms of COVID-19: effects of SARS-CoV-2 variant.
        PLoS Comput Biol. 2021; 17e1009629
        • Saban M
        • Myers V
        • Wilf-Miron R.
        Changes in infectivity, severity and vaccine effectiveness against delta COVID-19 variant ten months into the vaccination program: The Israeli case.
        Prev Med. 2022; 154106890https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2021.106890
        • Jablonska K
        • Aballea S
        • Auquier P
        • Toumi M.
        On the association between SARS-COV-2 variants and COVID-19 mortality during the second wave of the pandemic in Europe.
        J Mark Access Health Policy. 2021; 92002008
      1. STROBE Initiative. STROBE Statement. Available from: https://www.strobe-statement.org/checklists/. Accessed March 1, 2022.

        • Higginson IJ
        • Evans CJ
        • Grande G
        • et al.
        Evaluating complex interventions in End of Life Care: the MORECare Statement on good practice generated by a synthesis of transparent expert consultations and systematic reviews.
        BMC Med. 2013; 11111
      2. Johnson H, Brighton LJ, Clark J, et al. Experiences, concerns, and priorities for palliative care research during the COVID-19 pandemic: A rapid virtual stakeholder consultation with people affected by serious illness in England. London: King's College London; 2020. Available from:https://kclpure.kcl.ac.uk/portal/files/130918874/PPI_COVID_REPORT_PC_25.06.2020_final.pdf#page=2. Accessed March 1, 2022.

        • Quill TE
        • Abernethy AP.
        Generalist plus specialist palliative care — creating a more sustainable model.
        N Engl J Med. 2013; 368: 1173-1175
        • Radbruch L
        • De Lima L
        • Knaul F
        • et al.
        Redefining palliative care-a new consensus-based definition.
        J Pain Symptom Manage. 2020; 60: 754-764
        • Mather H
        • Guo P
        • Firth A
        • et al.
        Phase of Illness in palliative care: cross-sectional analysis of clinical data from community, hospital and hospice patients.
        Palliat Med. 2018; 32: 404-412
        • Murtagh FE
        • Ramsenthaler C
        • Firth A
        • et al.
        A brief, patient- and proxy-reported outcome measure in advanced illness: Validity, reliability and responsiveness of the Integrated Palliative care Outcome Scale (IPOS).
        Palliat Med. 2019; 33: 1045-1057
        • Antunes B
        • Ferreira PL.
        Validation and cultural adaptation of the Integrated Palliative care Outcome Scale (IPOS) for the Portuguese population.
        BMC Palliat Care. 2020; 19: 178-188
        • Roch C
        • Palzer J
        • Zetzl T
        • Stork S
        • Frantz S
        • van Oorschot B.
        Utility of the integrated palliative care outcome scale (IPOS): a cross-sectional study in hospitalised patients with heart failure.
        Eur J Cardiovasc Nurs. 2020; 19: 702-710
        • Sterie AC
        • Borasio GD
        • Bernard M
        • French IC.
        Validation of the French version of the integrated palliative care outcome scale.
        J Pain Symptom Manage. 2019; 58: 886-90 e5
        • Veronese S
        • Rabitti E
        • Costantini M
        • Valle A
        • Higginson I.
        Translation and cognitive testing of the Italian Integrated Palliative Outcome Scale (IPOS) among patients and healthcare professionals.
        PLoS One. 2019; 14e0208536
        • Sandham MH
        • Medvedev ON
        • Hedgecock E
        • Higginson IJ
        • Siegert RJ.
        A rasch analysis of the integrated palliative care outcome scale.
        J Pain Symptom Manage. 2019; 57: 290-296
        • Raj R
        • Ahuja K
        • Frandsen M
        • Murtagh FEM
        • Jose M.
        Validation of the IPOS-renal symptom survey in advanced kidney disease: a cross-sectional Study.
        J Pain Symptom Manage. 2018; 56: 281-287
        • Hearn J
        • Higginson IJ.
        Development and validation of a core outcome measure for palliative care: the palliative care outcome scale. Palliative Care Core Audit Project Advisory Group.
        Qual Health Care. 1999; 8: 219-227
        • Lovell N
        • Maddocks M
        • Etkind SN
        • et al.
        Characteristics, symptom management, and outcomes of 101 patients with COVID-19 referred for hospital palliative care.
        J Pain Symptom Manage. 2020; 60: e77-e81
        • Isaric Clinical Characterisation Group
        COVID-19 symptoms at hospital admission vary with age and sex: results from the ISARIC prospective multinational observational study.
        Infection. 2021; 49: 889-905
        • Raleigh V.
        Deaths from Covid-19 (coronavirus): how are they counted and what do they show?.
        The King’s Fund, London, England2021
        • Office for National Statistics
        Excess mortality and mortality displacement in England and Wales: 2020 to mid-2021.
        Office for National Statistics, Newport, Wales2021
        • Hocaoglu M
        • KE S
        • Maddocks M
        • et al.
        Patient-centredness in times of a pandemic: multicentre validation of an integrated patient outcome scale for people severely ill with COVID-19 (IPOS-COV).
        Cicely Saunders Institute, London2022
        • Menyhart O
        • Weltz B
        • Gyorffy B
        MultipleTesting.com: a tool for life science researchers for multiple hypothesis testing correction.
        PLoS One. 2021; 16e0245824
        • Dey T
        • Mukherjee A
        • Chakraborty S.
        A practical overview and reporting strategies for statistical analysis of survival studies.
        Chest. 2020; 158: S39-S48
        • Stensrud MJ
        • Hernán MA.
        Why test for proportional hazards?.
        Jama. 2020; 323: 1401-1402
        • Dewhurst F
        • Billett H
        • Simkiss L
        • et al.
        Multicenter evaluation of 434 hospital deaths from COVID-19: how can we improve end-of-life care during a pandemic?.
        J Pain Symptom Manage. 2021; 61: e7-e12
        • Poston JT
        • Patel BK
        • Davis AM.
        Management of critically Ill adults with COVID-19.
        Jama. 2020; 323: 1839-1841
        • Onder G
        • Rezza G
        • Brusaferro S.
        Case-fatality rate and characteristics of patients dying in relation to COVID-19 in Italy.
        Jama. 2020; 323: 1775-1776
        • Gagnon B
        • Scott S
        • Nadeau L
        • Lawlor PG.
        Patterns of community-based opioid prescriptions in people dying of cancer.
        J Pain Symptom Manage. 2015; 49: 36-44 e1
        • McFarlane P
        • Halley A
        • Kano Y
        • Wade N
        • Wilson S
        • Droney J.
        End-of-life experiences for cancer patients dying in hospital with COVID-19.
        J Patient Exp. 2022; 9: 1-9https://doi.org/10.1177/23743735221074171
        • Simone II, CB
        Early palliative care and integration of palliative care models in modern oncology practices.
        Ann Palliat Med. 2015; 4: 84-86
        • Temel JS
        • Greer JA
        • Muzikansky A
        • et al.
        Early palliative care for patients with metastatic non–small-cell lung cancer.
        N EnglJ Med. 2010; 363: 733-742
        • Gräske J
        • Meyer S
        • Wolf-Ostermann K.
        Quality of life ratings in dementia care–a cross-sectional study to identify factors associated with proxy-ratings.
        Health Qual Life Outcomes. 2014; 12: 177-187